TradingDay.com - Day Trading - After Hours Trading Home   After Hours Trading
Enter Ticker
Symbol
Symbol
Lookup
 

Topics

Swing Trading

Bilateral Trade Setups

Exploring Market Physics

Pattern Cycles:
Declines
Reversals
Tops
Highs
Trends
Breakouts
Bottoms

Scanning Tips and Techniques

The Profitable Trader

Trading Execution Zone

Trading with Stage Analysis

20 Golden Rules for Traders

20 Rules for Effective Trade Execution

20 Rules to Stop Losing Money

Bottoms & Tops

Adam & Eve & Adam

Adam & Eve Tops

Hell's Triangle

Lowdown on Bottoms

The Big W

Corrections

Anticipating a Selloff

5 Wave Declines

Selling Declines

Surviving Bear Markets

Common Pitfalls of Selling Short

Indicators

Bollinger Bands Tactics

Five Fibonacci Tricks

Fun with Fibonacci

Moving Average Crossovers

Overbought/Oversold Overload

Time Trading

Voodoo Trading

Market Dynamics

Clear Air

Cutting Losses

Effective Market Timing

Exit Strategies

Greed and Fear

Measuring Reward:Risk

Pattern Failure

Playing Failed Failures

Breakouts

Breakout Trading

Catch The Dow and Elliott Waves

False Breakouts and Whipsaws

Morning Gap Strategies

The Gap Primer

Trend, Direction and Timing

Trend Waves

Triangle Trading

Day Trading

3-D Trade Execution

Bid-Ask

Pullback Day Trading

Tale of the Tape

Tape Reading

New Highs

Mastering The Momentum Trade

Momentum Cycles

Uncharted Territory

TradingDay Domain
for Sale




 
TradingDay.com > Technical Analysis Tutorial

T e c h n i c a l   A n a l y s i s   T u t o r i a l
by Alan Farley

Pattern Failure

Patterns appear at the end of thrusting price movements. They are characterized by constricted swings between key support and resistance levels. Pattern development completes when a new trend leg breaks through this wall into directional price change. This new thrust may be in the same or opposite direction as the previous one. A pattern between adjacent price moves in a single direction continues that trend. Alternatively, when a breakout turns and retraces the last trend leg, the intervening pattern reverses the prior move.

You can categorize most patterns by their tendency toward continuation or reversal. This familiar bias underlies the predictive power of these structures. By their repeating nature, a well-marked chart landscape can be drawn to profit from the expected breakout. Use classic observation and well-chosen technical indicators to examine patterns as they develop. Their bullish or bearish nature can often be identified well before completion and exact entry points chosen where new price momentum will likely erupt.

But sometimes patterns won't do what the crowd expects.

One of the most powerful signals in pattern analysis flashes when a setup fails to act according to its tendency. This pattern failure often triggers sharp price movement in the opposite direction from the formation's natural bias. Have a contrarian entry system based on this reversal waiting in your trader's toolbox. But first exercise sound risk management as you recognize this event in progress and wait for ripe opportunity to appear.

Probability underlies all prediction. Through skilled observation or system-driven signals, technicians anticipate future price movement and enter trades they hope will profit from it. But the most common price patterns often fail to act as expected. Look to the edges of these rogue formations to identify trigger points where price signals a break in the low-odds, high-profit direction. One obvious example can be seen in the unexpected Tellabs rally after it drew a recognized reversal formation.

The classic Head and Shoulders reversal has been subject to intensive study over the last century. In fact, one popular investigation discovered this well-known pattern works only 79% of the time. While this figure lies well outside random outcome, it illustrates just how wrong you might be the next time you sell short at the H &S neckline.

Think Contrary: Sell short at the Head and Shoulders neckline? That classic TA advice got traders into major trouble in early 1999 on TLAB. When price rose beyond the level of the right shoulder, the pattern failed and smart traders prepared for low-risk long entry. The break at the tops of the head and right shoulder signaled confirmation AND also offered an easy pullback trade.
 


Content provided by The Hard Right Edge




Enter Ticker
Symbol
Symbol
Lookup

TradingDay.com

Home   After Hours Trading   Rügen Ferienwohnungen  

Copyright © 2005 TradingDay.com All rights reserved.